BATE

2 - 0

Smorgon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.