Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 72.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
