Sarmiento

4 - 1

Rosario

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.