Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.