Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Ethiopia
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.38%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
50.28% ( 0.01) | 30.77% ( 0.11) | 18.95% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 31.95% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
