Istiqlol Dushanbe

4 - 1

Al-Hilal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.