MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:37:16| >> :600:113898:113898:
[monks data]
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Spezia Calcio

Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')

Preview: AC Milan vs. Spezia Calcio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio, including predictions and team news.

AC Milan have enjoyed an excellent start to the season, winning both of their opening two Serie A games and advancing through Europa League qualifying.

They take on newly-promoted Spezia Calcio at San Siro and will expect to keep that momentum going with another victory.


Match preview

AC Milan's Gianluigi Donnarumma pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Milan have been comfortable winners in their first two Serie A outings of the season, beating both Bologna and newly-promoted Crotone by 2-0 scorelines.

They've done so whilst juggling Europa League qualifying duties after finishing sixth last season and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-2 before a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Rio Ave to get them into the group stages.

Milan have finished sixth in three of the last four seasons - finishing fifth the other year - and have not been able to break back into the Champions League spots since the 2012-13 season, despite their best efforts.

The last seven seasons have been disappointing for a club of Milan's stature, but their strong start this year may give the Rossoneri hope that this campaign will be the beginning of their revival.

And they will feel confident of maintaining that strong start as they take on a second newly-promoted side in as many league games in the form of Spezia.

Spezia were soundly beaten 4-1 by Sassuolo in their opening game, but bounced back to claim a 2-0 victory over Udinese despite being reduced to 10 men at 1-0.

However, they face their toughest challenge yet, going up against an in-form Milan side at San Siro - a daunting prospect.

They will hope that Milan's Europa League exertions have taken their toll and will allow them to spring a surprise.

AC Milan Serie A form: WW
AC Milan form (all competitions): WWWWW

Spezia Calcio Serie A form: LW


Team News

AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Milan manager Stefano Pioli has several injuries to contend with in his squad as he prepares for the visit of Spezia.

Ante Rebic, Andrea Conti and Mateo Musacchio are all out and are set to return later this month.

Meanwhile, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Leo Duarte and Alessio Romagnoli are all doubts and Pioli must wait to see if they are fit enough to feature.

Spezia boss Vincenzo Italiano has similar selection problems to deal with ahead of Sunday's trip to Milan.

Federico Mattiello is out with a calf problem, while Elio Capradossi is sidelined until next year with a knee injury.

Ardian Ismajli, Jeroen Zoet and Giuseppe Mastinu are all doubts, while Claudio Terzi is suspended.

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Calabria, Kjaer, Gabbia, Hernandez; Kessie, Bennacer; Castillejo, Calhanoglu, Saelemaekers; Maldini

Spezia Calcio possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Ferrer, Erlic, Chabot, Ramos; Deiola, Ricci, Maggiore; Verde, Galabinov, Gyasi


SM words green background

We say: AC Milan 2-0 Spezia Calcio

AC Milan have cruised to victory in each of their first two games and should have no trouble brushing newly-promoted Spezia aside at home.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


ID:416896:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6902:
Written by
Sean Wilson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio?

AC Milan
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Spezia Calcio
0.0%
0
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Serge Aurier warms up for Spurs on September 14, 2019
Read Next:
AC Milan showing interest in Serge Aurier?
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!