Macarthur

4 - 3

Adelaide United

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.44%) and 1-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.