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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United

Central Coast
2 - 0
Adelaide United

Silvera (48'), Tulio (52')
Triantis (65'), N'Kololo (62'), N'Kololo (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Popovic (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Central Coast
Saturday, May 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Central Coast
Saturday, May 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Adelaide United

 With everything on the line, it is likely that there will be little to split the two teams in this match, but the poor away form of Adelaide United could be cause for concern. The fact that Central Coast Mariners have now beaten their opponents three times this season should provide plenty of confidence as well, and that is why they will likely secure another win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
50.09% (1.165 1.17) 21.73% (0.105 0.11) 28.17% (-1.268 -1.27)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-1.403 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.72% (-1.429 -1.43)33.28% (1.432 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.95% (-1.657 -1.66)55.04% (1.659 1.66)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)13.73% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (-0.282 -0.28)40.99% (0.286 0.29)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-1.496 -1.5)23.45% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-2.222 -2.22)57.45% (2.225 2.23)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 50.09%
    Adelaide United 28.17%
    Draw 21.73%
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.196 0.2)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.406 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.248 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.113 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 9.27% (0.245 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Adelaide United

Central Coast Mariners
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Adelaide United
16.7%
24
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 10.45am
Adelaide United
1-2
Central Coast
Goodwin (4' pen.)
Sanchez (65'), Kitto (79'), Irankunda (82')
McGarry (15'), Cummings (37')
Triantis (53'), Farrell (62'), Theoharous (90+5')
Apr 28, 2023 10.45am
gameweek 26
Adelaide United
1-4
Central Coast
Kitto (90+3')
Irankunda (60')
Tulio (23', 57'), N'Kololo (41'), Steele (87')
Farrell (86'), Tulio (90+4')
Jan 7, 2023 6am
gameweek 11
Central Coast
4-0
Adelaide United
Popovic (31' og.), N'Kololo (48'), Madanha (55' og.), Farrell (58')

Clough (49'), Juande (54')
Sanchez (46')
May 15, 2022 7.05am
Adelaide United
3-1
Central Coast
Goodwin (26'), Yengi (67'), Oliveira (90+2')
Sanchez (19'), Goodwin (64')
Roux (71')
Farrell (34'), Steele (44')
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 20
Central Coast
3-0
Adelaide United
Urena (77'), Cummings (90+1'), Hatch (90+3')
Moresche (85')
Moresche (90+5')

Juande (73'), Lopez (89')
Gauci (27')
rhs 2.0
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