Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
34.41% ( 0.14) | 24.33% ( 0.15) | 41.26% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.16% ( -0.66) | 42.83% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.76% ( -0.66) | 65.23% ( 0.66) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0.23) | 24.39% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( -0.33) | 58.81% ( 0.33) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.11% ( -0.42) | 20.88% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.41% ( -0.65) | 53.59% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 2 |
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