Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur1 - 1Victory
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
38.99% ( -0.38) | 23.54% ( -0.06) | 37.47% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
