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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 at 8am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne City

Adelaide United
6 - 0
Melbourne City

Irankunda (14'), Talbot (29' og.), Tunnicliffe (75'), Toure (81'), Oliveira (88', 90+4')
Sanchez (18'), Madanha (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Behich (49'), Natel (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Central Coast
Friday, October 20 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Buriram Utd 0-2 Melbourne City
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
27.39% (0.984 0.98) 21.72% (0.532 0.53) 50.89% (-1.515 -1.52)
Both teams to score 65.41% (-1.075 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.17% (-1.785 -1.79)33.83% (1.786 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (-2.056 -2.06)55.67% (2.057 2.06)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)24.23% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.411 -0.41)58.58% (0.412 0.41)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (-1.083 -1.08)13.67% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.13% (-2.203 -2.2)40.87% (2.203 2.2)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 27.39%
    Melbourne City 50.89%
    Draw 21.72%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.299 0.3)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.347 0.35)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.17% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 50.89%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Adelaide United
4-2
Melbourne City
Barr (45+3'), Goodwin (50'), D'Arrigo (57'), Irankunda (85')
Nabbout (9'), Tilio (62')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 4am
Gameweek 14
Melbourne City
3-3
Adelaide United
Lam (12'), Leckie (52'), MacLaren (90+2' pen.)
Blackwood (1'), Kitto (17'), Goodwin (43')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 5.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Adelaide United
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')
May 18, 2022 10.05am
Adelaide United
0-0
Melbourne City
Metcalfe (60'), Reis (61'), Leckie (76'), Colakovski (90')
Feb 15, 2022 8.55am
Gameweek 24
Melbourne City
1-2
Adelaide United
MacLaren (11')
Reis (90+4')
Lopez (20'), Toure (85')
Oliveira (10'), Juande (17'), Mauk (42'), Barr (67')
rhs 2.0
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