MX23RW : Monday, December 23 13:06:25| >> :60:173:173:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Yellow Dragon Sports Center
Melbourne City

Zhejiang
1 - 2
Melbourne City

Leonardo (19' pen.)
Tixiang (56'), Zhang (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Behich (4'), Caputo (17')
Ugarkovic (26'), Arslan (57'), Caputo (64'), Good (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Zhejiang Professional and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zhejiang Professional

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Henan
Saturday, September 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Melbourne City

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Ventforet Kofu
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Zhejiang ProfessionalDrawMelbourne City
25.14% (0.16 0.16) 22.87% (0.026 0.03) 51.99% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 58.97% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)63.73% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.143 0.14)29.82% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.176 0.18)65.9% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)15.98% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)45.27% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Zhejiang Professional 25.14%
    Melbourne City 51.99%
    Draw 22.87%
Zhejiang ProfessionalDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.14%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.9% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.99%

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