MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:21:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Luzern

Lugano
2 - 3
Luzern

Mahou (3'), Vladi (43')
Papadopoulos (60'), Lukas Mai (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dorn (12'), Klidje (75', 88')
Ottiger (55'), Dorn (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Luzern 1-0 Sion
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Lugano 2-1 Luzern

Coming off the back of a solid display against Rijeka, Lugano will return to league action with confidence as they look to maintain their perfect start to the campaign. Luzern have struggled for consistency on their travels and we fancy the Bianconeri to pick up all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
44.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 31.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-0.055 -0.05)41.11% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)63.51% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.34% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.99% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)59.64% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 44.2%
    Luzern 31.99%
    Draw 23.8%
LuganoDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Lugano vs Luzern

Lugano
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Luzern
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 26
Luzern
0-1
Lugano

Grbic (51'), Kadak (52'), Jasari (62'), Ulrich (90+2')
Vladi (40')
Vladi (34'), Valenzuela (58'), Sabbatini (74'), Lukas Mai (75')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lugano
1-0
Luzern
Mahmoud (50')
Mahou (43'), Sabbatini (58'), Celar (90+3')

Frydek Jr (61')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Luzern
3-2
Lugano
Meyer (19', 22' pen.), Villiger (74')
Dorn (3'), Beloko (64')
Beloko (76')
Espinoza (4'), Vladi (90+6')
Vladi (13'), Bislimi (33'), El Wafi (72'), Grgic (90+8')
Espinoza (71')
May 7, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 32
Luzern
2-2
Lugano
Beka (27'), Meyer (36')
Celar (52'), Steffen (74')
Feb 12, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 20
Lugano
1-1
Luzern
Celar (37' pen.)
Abubakar (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich147522215726
2Basel1481535152025
3LuganoLugano147432115625
4Servette147432321225
5Luzern156542723423
6Lausanne SportLausanne157262320323
7St GallenSt Gallen145542519620
8Sion154561819-117
9Young Boys154561924-517
10Yverdon Sport144371525-1015
11FC WinterthurWinterthur153391132-2112
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper152491425-1110


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