Swiss Super League | Gameweek 36

May 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
4 - 2
Winterthur

Sabbatini (43'), Bislimi (49'), Steffen (67'), Celar (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Turkes (27'), Burkart (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Lugano
Saturday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Winterthur 1-3 FC Zurich
Sunday, May 12 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
55.28% ( 0.74)	21.85% ( -0.28)	22.88% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.03% (

0.78)

38.97% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.71% (

0.81)

61.29% (

-0.81)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

0.5)

14.06% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

0.97)

41.64% (

-0.97)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

0.05)

30.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

0.05)

66.57% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lugano 55.28%

FC Winterthur 22.88%

Draw 21.85%

Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.28%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.88%