MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:49:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Lugano

Basel
1 - 2
Lugano

Leroy (50')
Leroy (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aliseda (8'), Przybylko (69')
Hajdari (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: Lausanne 3-2 Basel
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: Basel 2-2 Lugano

 Still licking their wounds from last Tuesday's narrow defeat, Lugano will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result ahead of next week's second-leg clash with Fenerbahce. However, Basel have proven tough to crack at home and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
42.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.03% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 33.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (-0.073 -0.07)41.8% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)64.2% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.055 -0.05)51.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)59.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Basel 42.84%
    Lugano 33.13%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Basel vs Lugano

Basel
46.3%
Draw
38.9%
Lugano
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Lugano
2-0
Basel
Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich147522215726
2Basel1481535152025
3LuganoLugano147432115625
4Servette147432321225
5Luzern146442622422
6St GallenSt Gallen145542519620
7Lausanne SportLausanne146262220220
8Sion144551818017
9Young Boys144461823-516
10Yverdon Sport144371525-1015
11FC WinterthurWinterthur143291031-2111
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper142391324-119
> Swiss Super League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!