Karagumruk1 - 2Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, April 3 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Thursday, April 11 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-2 Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce are heavy favourites to extend their unbeaten away run against a struggling Karagumruk. Fener's superior attacking firepower should see them through to another win against a side they have historically dominated. We expect a comfortable away win for Fenerbahce. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
28.16% ( -0.42) | 24.7% ( 0.13) | 47.15% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( -0.8) | 47.17% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -0.75) | 69.4% ( 0.75) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.72) | 30.58% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.19% ( -0.86) | 66.81% ( 0.86) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.2) | 20.07% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.31) | 52.3% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.15% |
