MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 03:07:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 1
Karagumruk

da Costa (11')
Porozo (69'), da Costa (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eysseric (38')
Mor (70'), Mor (78'), Mendes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Pendikspor
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk are poor on the road, which makes this a straightforward prediction given how well Kasimpasa are playing right now. The hosts have rediscovered the form that put them in European conversations in the first half of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.5% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)67.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.01700000000001 0.02)18.47% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (0.028000000000006 0.03)49.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.02600000000001 0.03)31.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 49.5%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.45%
    Draw 24.04%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

Kasimpasa
Draw
Fatih Karagumruk
Kasimpasa
93.1%
Draw
3.4%
Fatih Karagumruk
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Karagumruk
2-3
Kasimpasa
Ceccherini (43'), Sturaro (89')
Ceccherini (10'), Biraschi (81'), Atakan Kesgin (84')
Ceccherini (3' og.), Kara (6', 34')
Ozcan (45+1'), Omeruo (84'), Cetinkaya (84')
Jun 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
3-0
Kasimpasa
Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
Bertolacci (34'), Feghouli (74'), Diagne (82')

Ozcan (47')
Jan 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
2-2
Karagumruk
Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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4BesiktasBesiktas26128639261344
5EyupsporEyupspor27128740291144
6GaziantepGaziantep26115103635138
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK26107944341037
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul26106104137436
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2698943311235
10KasimpasaKasimpasa2781184752-535
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27103143446-1233
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor2796123051-2133
13KonyasporKonyaspor2787123340-731
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor2787123140-931
15Bodrumspor2786132029-930
16SivassporSivasspor2776143345-1227
17KayserisporKayserispor2669112746-1927
18Hatayspor2647152946-1719
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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