SheBelieves Cup | Regular Season

Feb 23, 2023 at 12am UK

USA Women
2 - 1
Brazil Women

Morgan (45+3'), Pugh (63')
Sullivan (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ludmila (90')
Kerolin (34'), Adriana (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Regular Season clash between USA Women and Brazil Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: USA Women 1-0 Japan Women
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	7	9
2	USA Women	3	2	4
3	Australia Women	3	-1	4
4	New Zealand Women	3	-8	0

Brazil Women

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil Women 0-2 Canada Women
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	13	7
2	Brazil Women	3	6	7
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	1
4	China PR Women	3	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Brazil Women
60.8% ( -0.94)	22.52% ( 0.08)	16.67% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

1.12)

50.62% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

0.98)

72.53% (

-0.98)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

0.07)

16.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

0.13)

45.71% (

-0.13)

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.39% (

1.81)

43.61% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.2% (

1.46)

79.8% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

USA Women 60.8%

Brazil Women 16.67%

Draw 22.52%

USA Women	Draw	Brazil Women
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 60.8%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.67%