Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2021 at 12pm UK

Miyagi Stadium

N'lands Women
3 - 3
Brazil Women

Miedema (3', 59'), Bloodworth (79')
van der Gragt (64'), Roord (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Debinha (17'), Marta (64' pen.), Ludmila (68')
Ludmila (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Netherlands Women and Brazil Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Brazil Women had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Brazil Women win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands Women	Draw	Brazil Women
56.42%	20.27%	23.31%

Both teams to score 66.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.9%

52.1%

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96%

11.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.63%

35.37%

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57%

25.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.25%

Score Analysis

Netherlands Women 56.42%

Brazil Women 23.32%

Draw 20.27%

Netherlands Women	Draw	Brazil Women
2-1 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 6.82% 1-0 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 4.69% 4-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 1.67% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.42%	1-1 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 2.81% 3-3 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.46% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 5.8% 0-1 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-2 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.32%