Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 21, 2021 at 9am UK

Miyagi Stadium

China PR Women
0 - 5
Brazil Women

FT(HT: 0-2)

Marta (9', 74'), Debinha (22'), Alves da Silva (82' pen.), Beatriz (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between China PR Women and Brazil Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Women would win this match.

Result
China PR Women	Draw	Brazil Women
34.91%	22.84%	42.25%

Both teams to score 65.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.54%

35.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.5%

57.5%

China PR Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.68%

53.31%

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.2%

47.8%

Score Analysis

China PR Women 34.91%

Brazil Women 42.25%

Draw 22.84%

China PR Women	Draw	Brazil Women
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.25%