Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil Women in this match.