SheBelieves Cup | Regular Season

Feb 16, 2023 at 9pm UK

Japan Women
0 - 1
Brazil Women

Miyake (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Debinha (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Regular Season clash between Japan Women and Brazil Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

Last Game: Sweden Women 3-1 Japan Women
Friday, July 30 at 11am in Olympic Games Women's Football

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Great Britain Women	3	3	7
2	Canada Women	3	1	5
3	Japan Women	3	0	4
4	Chile Women	3	-4	0

Brazil Women

Last Game: Canada Women 0-0 Brazil Women (4-3 pen.)
Friday, July 30 at 9am in Olympic Games Women's Football

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	13	7
2	Brazil Women	3	6	7
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	1
4	China PR Women	3	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Brazil Women
67.35% ( -0.41)	20.44% ( 0)	12.21% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 42.63% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.86)

50.84% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

0.75)

72.73% (

-0.75)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82% (

0.14)

14.18% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.12% (

0.29)

41.88% (

-0.29)

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.67% (

1.22)

50.33% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.11% (

0.82)

84.88% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Japan Women 67.34%

Brazil Women 12.21%

Draw 20.44%

Japan Women	Draw	Brazil Women
1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 67.34%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.44%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.21%