Serie B | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa3 - 0SPAL
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rauti (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Como
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
54.4% ( -0.54) | 25.53% ( 0.07) | 20.07% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.67% ( 0.25) | 57.33% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( 0.2) | 78.16% ( -0.2) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% ( -0.12) | 21.13% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( -0.18) | 53.98% ( 0.19) |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.47% ( 0.67) | 43.52% ( -0.67) |