Serie B | Gameweek 20

Jan 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Venezia

Coda (85')
Puscas (62'), Bani (90+4'), Strootman (90+1'), Sabelli (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tessmann (80'), Haps (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 2-2 Parma
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Venezia
54.85% ( -0.41)	25.11% ( 0.13)	20.04% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.14% (

-0.18)

55.85% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

-0.14)

76.97% (

0.14)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0.24)

20.36% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

-0.38)

52.75% (

0.37)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.3% (

0.2)

42.69% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97% (

0.18)

79.03% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Genoa 54.85%

Venezia 20.04%

Draw 25.1%

Genoa	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.85%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.04%