Serie B | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 0
Genoa

Benedyczak (32'), Vazquez (53' pen.)
Benedyczak (32'), Zagaritis (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabelli (25'), Salcedo (82'), Sturaro (90'), Sturaro (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Cosenza 1-0 Parma
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Pisa
Saturday, January 28 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Genoa
44.23% ( 0.02)	27.97% ( 0.51)	27.8% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.99% (

-2.03)

60% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

-1.58)

80.24% (

1.57)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-0.93)

27.01% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-1.23)

62.36% (

1.23)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

-1.55)

37.69% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

-1.54)

74.46% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Parma 44.22%

Genoa 27.8%

Draw 27.96%

Parma	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.88% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.8%