Serie B | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 0
Perugia

Benedyczak (12'), Vazquez (60')
Osorio (50'), Chichizola (69'), Coulibaly (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bartolomei (45+2'), Santoro (46'), Curado (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Bari 4-0 Parma
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Perugia

All competitions

Last Game: Perugia 3-3 Palermo
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Perugia
57.46% ( -0.04)	23.56% ( -0.05)	18.98% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

0.3)

51.35% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

0.26)

73.17% (

-0.26)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.09)

17.65% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

0.16)

48.25% (

-0.17)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.73% (

0.27)

41.27% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21% (

0.24)

77.79% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Parma 57.45%

Perugia 18.98%

Draw 23.56%

Parma	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.98%