Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari3 - 2Perugia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Perugia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Cagliari
Wednesday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 0-0 SPAL
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Perugia |
46.64% ( 0.52) | 27.24% ( -0.21) | 26.12% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
