Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.