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Scottish Premiership
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Mar 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee
1 - 0
Aberdeen

McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrath (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Dundee 1-1 Aberdeen

 There is very little to split these two teams in terms of league position and form, which should lead to a close fixture between them. It is set to be a competitive match, and because of the closeness, it would not be a surprise to see them battle out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAberdeen
47.02% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1) 23.82% (0.029 0.03) 29.16% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)42.62% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)65.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)18.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.122 -0.12)49.4% (0.125 0.13)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.06% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 47.02%
    Aberdeen 29.16%
    Draw 23.82%
DundeeDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.16%

How you voted: Dundee vs Aberdeen

Dundee
53.5%
Draw
30.7%
Aberdeen
15.8%
101
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Dundee
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McGrath (35'), Jensen (78')
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Dodgson (18'), Boateng (23'), Beck (90')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee
Ferguson (73' pen.)
Besuijen (30')

Mulligan (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dundee
2-2
Aberdeen
McGhee (62'), Mullen (86')
Adam (79')
Ramsey (41'), McCrorie (81')
Gallagher (61')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
2-1
Dundee
Hedges (12'), Ferguson (70')
Griffiths (7')
McGhee (31'), Panter (46'), Kerr (86')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Dundee
2-1
Aberdeen
Griffiths (49'), McCowan (62')
Adam (38'), Byrne (44'), Sheridan (90+6'), Mullen (90+10')
Ramirez (67')
Hedges (73'), Gallagher (90+4'), Watkins (90+10')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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