Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
47.02% ( -0.1) | 23.82% ( 0.03) | 29.16% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% ( -0.08) | 42.62% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.98% ( -0.08) | 65.02% ( 0.09) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -0.07) | 18.32% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% ( -0.12) | 49.4% ( 0.13) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( 0.01) | 63.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |