Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
80.84% ( -0.56) | 12.54% ( 0.42) | 6.61% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% ( -1.71) | 32.27% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.11% ( -2.02) | 53.88% ( 2.02) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.89% ( -0.44) | 6.11% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.82% ( -1.25) | 23.18% ( 1.25) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.04% ( -0.93) | 49.96% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.37% ( -0.65) | 84.63% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.76% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |