Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
80.84% ( -0.56) | 12.54% ( 0.42) | 6.61% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% ( -1.71) | 32.27% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.11% ( -2.02) | 53.88% ( 2.02) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.89% ( -0.44) | 6.11% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.82% ( -1.25) | 23.18% ( 1.25) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.04% ( -0.93) | 49.96% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.37% ( -0.65) | 84.63% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.76% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |