Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23

Apr 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 2
Airdrieonians

Bird (90+1')
McKenna (50'), Walker (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fordyce (72'), McGill (81')
Hancock (26'), Megwa (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Dunfermline
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 2-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
26.03% ( -0.96)	24.47% ( -0.24)	49.5% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

0.3)

47.69% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

0.28)

69.89% (

-0.28)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.6)

32.5% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

-0.68)

69.02% (

0.68)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

0.61)

19.3% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.95% (

51.06% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 26.03%

Airdrieonians 49.5%

Draw 24.46%

Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.5%