Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
