Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
