Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
