Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough Under-23s in this match.
