Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
