Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.84%) and 1-3 (6.71%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
