MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 00:02:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 3
Stal Mielec

Bichakhchyan (21'), Koulouris (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shkurin (6', 55', 84')
Ehmann (42')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawStal Mielec
55.31% (0.306 0.31) 21.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.7% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 59.08% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (-0.304 -0.3)39.85% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.317 -0.32)62.21% (0.316 0.32)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)14.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (-0.012 -0.01)42.2% (0.012 0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)31.02% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.497 -0.5)67.33% (0.497 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 55.31%
    Stal Mielec 22.7%
    Draw 21.99%
Pogon SzczecinDrawStal Mielec
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.119 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.7%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan97111731422
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow10622134920
3KS CracoviaCracovia96121712519
4Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia96031616018
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin105141613316
6Widzew Lodz104421311216
7Legia WarsawLegia104331711615
8Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice9432108215
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik103341313012
10Katowice103341213-112
11Motor Lublin10334812-412
12Radomiak Radom83051415-19
13Lechia GdanskGdansk102351219-79
14Korona Kielce9234613-79
15Puszcza Niepolomice101541013-38
16Zaglebie Lubin9225614-88
17Stal Mielec821559-47
18Slask Wroclaw8044713-64


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