Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
19.4% ( -2.88) | 22.49% ( -1.25) | 58.11% ( 4.13) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 1.69) | 46.41% ( -1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( 1.57) | 68.69% ( -1.57) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( -1.95) | 37.94% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( -1.94) | 74.71% ( 1.94) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( 2.06) | 15.67% ( -2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.28% ( 3.68) | 44.72% ( -3.68) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.4% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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