Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Dover Athletic |
32.07% | 25.37% | 42.56% |
Both teams to score 55.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% | 48.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% | 70.39% |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% | 28.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% | 64.17% |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% | 22.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.81% | 56.18% |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Dover Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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