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National League South | Gameweek 41
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bulpit Lane

Hungerford
1 - 2
Bath City

Elias-Fernandes (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wilson (31', 38' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawBath City
35.28% (-0.292 -0.29) 25.77% (0.295 0.3) 38.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 54.91% (-1.058 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-1.345 -1.35)49.26% (1.343 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-1.227 -1.23)71.32% (1.224 1.22)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.809 -0.81)26.92% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-1.074 -1.07)62.25% (1.071 1.07)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.611 -0.61)24.86% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.86 -0.86)59.47% (0.858 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 35.28%
    Bath City 38.94%
    Draw 25.77%
Hungerford TownDrawBath City
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.48% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.94%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Bath City
2-3
Hungerford
Dyer (26'), Wilson (69')
Muir (12'), Smith (46'), Ofosu (90+3')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Hungerford
0-3
Bath City

Berry-Hargreaves (80')
Sims-Burgess (6'), Smith (32'), Frear (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 17
Bath City
0-1
Hungerford
Evans (86')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
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