Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30.13% ( 2.58)	25.33% ( -0.41)	44.53% ( -2.18)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

2.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

3.06)

48.84% (

-3.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

2.71)

70.93% (

-2.72)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

3.5)

30.02% (

-3.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

4.01)

66.14% (

-4.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.29)

21.91% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82% (

0.45)

55.18% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 30.13%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.53%

Draw 25.33%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.13%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.85) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.53%