We can not see beyond a routine victory for the hosts, who have benefitted from having a week between fixtures in contrast to the visitors, who fell to yet another defeat on Wednesday. Ultimately, there are 27 points between these two teams for a reason, with the difference in quality between them surely set to play out at the Nissan Stadium on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
71.93% ( 0.08)	16.96% ( -0.03)	11.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56% (

0.01)

38.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27% (

0.01)

60.72% (

-0.01)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

0.02)

9.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

0.05)

31.61% (

-0.05)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.67% (

-0.09)

44.32% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.61% (

-0.07)

80.38% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 71.92%

Shonan Bellmare 11.1%

Draw 16.96%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.96% Total : 71.92%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.96%	0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.1%