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J1 League | Gameweek 12
Jun 28, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
4 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Koroki (20'), Sekine (61', 65'), Kante (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohashi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 Shonan Bellmare

Urawa Red Diamonds will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Shonan Bellmare side who are without a league win since April. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides and their contrasting form, we predict a one-sided affair at the Saitama Stadium with the hosts claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawShonan Bellmare
56.08% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)76.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.53% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 56.07%
    Shonan Bellmare 19.22%
    Draw 24.68%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13.84%
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.22%

How you voted: Urawa vs Shonan Bellmare

Urawa Red Diamonds
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Shonan Bellmare
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 11am
Mar 6, 2022 6am
Gameweek 3
Urawa
2-0
Shonan Bellmare
Esaka (16'), Mawatari (87')

Yonemoto (67')
Aug 29, 2021 11am
Jun 20, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Urawa
2-3
Shonan Bellmare
Junker (9', 53')
Yamada (27'), Wellington (70'), Okamoto (87')
Dec 12, 2020 8am
Gameweek 31
Urawa
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Ugajin (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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