MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 23:52:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Hosoya (27')
Diego (58')
Tatsuta (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohno (90+3')
Yamamoto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare are the only side in the Japanese top flight without a clean sheet so far, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing Kashiwa Reysol to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
44.88% (0.223 0.22) 26.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.63%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.10199999999999 0.1)24.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.148 0.15)59.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.163 -0.16)34.77% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.174 -0.17)71.51% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%
    Shonan Bellmare 28.34%
    Draw 26.77%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Reysol
Sugioka (45+5')
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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