Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.