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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Ezequiel (55')
Ben Khalifa (8'), Morishima (67'), Ezequiel (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sekigawa (5')
Pituca (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers

Although Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last four matches, they boast an impressive head-to-head record against Saturday's opponents. They have won their last three meetings with Kashima, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim another narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
50.83% (0.45500000000001 0.46) 26.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.08% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (0.142 0.14)56.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.114 0.11)77.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.259 0.26)22.28% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.388 0.39)55.73% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.241 -0.24)39.89% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.223 -0.22)76.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.81%
    Kashima Antlers 23.09%
    Draw 26.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.09%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Kashima Antlers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Hiroshima

Misao (90+5')
Kawamura (84'), Ezequiel (90+5')
Ben Khalifa (7'), Araki (40'), Fujii (45')
May 7, 2022 6am
Nov 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 35
Hiroshima
1-4
Kashima Antlers
Ezequiel (34')
Fujii (45+2'), Nogami (45+5'), Sasaki (65')
Arthur (3', 50'), Tsunemoto (28'), Araki (71' pen.)
Sekigawa (45+5')
Mar 13, 2021 7am
Gameweek 4
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (69')
Silva (26'), Sugioka (90+4')
Asano (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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