MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 13:32:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koizumi (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
40.46% (-0.316 -0.32) 27.46% (0.138 0.14) 32.07% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29% (-0.483 -0.48)56.7% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.389 -0.39)77.66% (0.38900000000001 0.39)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.399 -0.4)27.48% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.52 -0.52)62.97% (0.519 0.52)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.126 -0.13)32.68% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.14 -0.14)69.23% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 40.45%
    Sagan Tosu 32.07%
    Draw 27.46%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.165 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Fujiwara (24')
Machino (68')
Nagaki (90+1')
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
Oct 25, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Shonan Bellmare
Cho (34'), Hayashi (75')
Miya (66')
Barada (20'), Ibusuki (45+2')
Oct 21, 2020 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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