Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.